BYD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 23, 2023 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kenneth BjerreD 1 1 13
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach0 3 3 2 210+1
- 11David Bellego2 3 3 2 313
- 12Daniel Jeleniewski3 0 1 3 u7
- 13Andreas Lyager1 2 3 17+1
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 1 310
- 15Olivier Buszkiewicz2 0 02+1
- 16Benjamin Basso11
- 1Matej Zagar3 3 2 0 3 112
- 2Patryk Wojdyło0 1 01
- 3Brady Kurtz1 2 2 05
- 4Krystian Pieszczek2 1 03+1
- 5Patrick Hansen2 2 2 3 2 011
- 6Paweł Trześniewski1 1 0 13+1
- 7Kacper Tkocz0 00
- 8Jan Kvech2 W2
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYDD
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2*
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Patrick Hansen · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h S
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 29 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| BYD | RYB | BYD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bellego | 5 | 8.0 | 13 | +5.0 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Benjamin Basso | 1 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Jan Kvech | 2 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.