ZIE vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, May 12, 2023 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki3 W 1 3 29+1
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 3 2 1 09
- 11Rohan Tungate1 1 3 T5
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 3 315
- 14Dawid Rempała3 1 1 16+1
- 15Michał Curzytek2 2 1 2 18+3
- 16Maksym Borowiak1 0 01
- 1Kevin Fajfer00
- 2Norbert KrakowiakD 0 00
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 2 2 2 213
- 4Antonio Lindbäck2 2 0 04+1
- 5Adrian Gała2 2 2 06
- 6Karol Żupiński1 0 0 01
- 7Kacper Teska0 11
- 8Jonas Seifert-Salk1 3 1 3 3 112+2
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ0
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2*
- Karol Żupiński · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Adrian Gała · POZ2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZD
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ2*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Adrian Gała · POZ2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIEW
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Adrian Gała · POZ2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1*
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Adrian Gała · POZ0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1*
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | POZ | ZIE | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.1 | 15 | +4.9 |
| Michał Curzytek | 5 | 4.9 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Dawid Rempała | 4 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Adrian Gała | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 3 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Kacper Teska | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 6.7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.