LAN vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, May 5, 2023 · OneSolar Arena Landshut Ellermühle, Landshut
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck3 3 1 2 110+2
- 10Martin Smolinski1 1 0 13+1
- 11Marius Hillebrand1 1 2 15+1
- 12Kim Nilsson1 3 3 3 212+1
- 13Dimitri Berge2 3 1 2 19+1
- 14Erik Bachhuber1 3 04
- 15Norick Blödorn3 1 3 29
- 1Kenneth Bjerre2 2 3 1 2 313
- 2Daniel Jeleniewski0 00
- 3David Bellego0 0 0 33
- 4Szymon Szlauderbach2 2 3 2 0 09+1
- 5Andreas Lyager3 2 2 W 3 010+1
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski2 0 1 D3
- 7Olivier BuszkiewiczW 00
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Kim Nilsson · LAN1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Martin Smolinski · LAN1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD0
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Martin Smolinski · LAN1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- Martin Smolinski · LAN0
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN2*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYDD
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Martin Smolinski · LAN1*
- David Bellego · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Measured · Landshut-Reithof, 17 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 12 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Measured · Vilsheim-münchsdorf, 11 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Vilsheim-münchsdorf, 11 km away
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Landshut-Reithof, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LAN | BYD | LAN | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LAN
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.6 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 3 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Marius Hillebrand | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 6 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Martin Smolinski | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 2 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 8.5 | 3 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.