RYB vs ZIE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, September 29, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Matej Zagar0 0 1 1 1 W 25+1
- 10Brady Kurtz3 3 3 2 3 2 218
- 11Patryk Wojdyło1 2 3 1 3 3 114
- 14Kamil Winkler1 01
- 15Kacper Tkocz1 0 0 1 T 02
- 16Paweł Trześniewski00
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 0 D 37+1
- 2Luke BeckerD 1 3 2 17+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen3 2 3 3 314
- 4Rohan Tungate1 1 2 26+3
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 2 1 W8
- 6Michał Curzytek2 2 W4+1
- 7Maksym Borowiak3 0 14
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Kamil Winkler · RYB1
- Luke Becker · ZIED
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1*
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Luke Becker · ZIE1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIED
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Luke Becker · ZIE2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2
- Luke Becker · ZIE1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| RYB | ZIE | RYB | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 7 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 7 | 14.4 | 18 | +3.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Kamil Winkler | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 6 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 7 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 11.2 | 7 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.