BYD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 17, 2023 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre1 3 2 2 210+2
- 10David Bellego2 1 1 3 07+1
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak2 2 3 3 010
- 12Szymon Szlauderbach1 1 1 36+1
- 13Andreas Lyager0 2 3 1 28
- 14Olivier Buszkiewicz3 0 03
- 15Bartosz Nowak2 0 02+1
- 1Matej Zagar3 1 3 0 07
- 3Patryk Wojdyło0 0 2 1 03
- 5Brady Kurtz3 3 2 2 2 3 116
- 6Kacper Tkocz0 3 03
- 7Kamil Winkler1 W 12+1
- 8Jan Kvech2 1 1 3 2 1 313+2
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD3
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD2*
- Kamil Winkler · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- David Bellego · BYD1*
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Kamil Winkler · RYB1*
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| BYD | RYB | BYD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kvech | 7 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 7 | 16.2 | 16 | -0.2 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Kamil Winkler | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 7.8 | 3 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.