RYB vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 10, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Matej Zagar2 1 1 3 1 311+2
- 10Brady Kurtz2 3 2 2 3 315+1
- 11Patryk Wojdyło3 2 3 3 3 014
- 14Kamil Winkler0 0 00
- 15Kacper Tkocz1 0 12
- 16Jan KvechU 2 2 1 2 W7+1
- 1Kenneth Bjerre1 1 1 03
- 2David Bellego1 3 0 26
- 3Szymon Szlauderbach0 2 1 03
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak3 0 3 3 1 212
- 5Andreas Lyager3 2 2 1 2 111+1
- 6Olivier Buszkiewicz2 1 03+1
- 7Bartosz Nowak3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Jan Kvech · RYBU
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Jan Kvech · RYBW
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 29 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| RYB | BYD | RYB | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 6 | 9.6 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 6 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 13.3 | 15 | +1.7 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Jan Kvech | 6 | 9.6 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Kamil Winkler | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 7.3 | 3 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.