ZIE vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 26, 2023 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 3 W8+1
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 3 3 312
- 11Rohan Tungate2 3 3 311+1
- 12Luke Becker1 2 2 3 311+2
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 3 27+1
- 14Maksym Borowiak2 1 14+1
- 15Michał Curzytek3 0 25+1
- 16Dawid Rempała0 1 01
- 1Daniel Kaczmarek1 1 1 0 14+1
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 2 1 19+2
- 3Seweryn Orgacki0 0 0 00
- 4Keynan Rew2 1 2 2 29
- 5Mads Hansen3 1 1 1 28
- 6Bartosz TyburskiU 0 00
- 7Miłosz Wysocki1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE3
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2*
- Luke Becker · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Bartosz Tyburski · GDA0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · ZIE2*
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · ZIE2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Bartosz Tyburski · GDA0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | GDA | ZIE | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 4 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Bartosz Tyburski | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.