RYB vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 20, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Matej Zagar2 1 1 15+1
- 10Patryk Wojdyło3 3 3 1 111+1
- 11Patrick Hansen3 2 3 3 213
- 13Brady Kurtz0 2 3 3 210
- 14Kamil Winkler0 0 11
- 15Kacper Tkocz1 0 12
- 16Jan Kvech3 1 1 3 19+1
- 1Oliver Berntzon0 11
- 2Matias Nielsen2 3 0 2 3 010
- 3Grzegorz Walasek1 3 2 2 0 311
- 4Francis Gusts2 0 02
- 5Tobiasz Musielak1 2 2 0 2 W7+1
- 6Sebastian Szostak2 1 03+2
- 7Jakub Krawczyk3 0 2 05
Heat by heat
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Francis Gusts · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1*
- Francis Gusts · OST0
- Matias Nielsen · OST3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Kamil Winkler · RYB1
- Francis Gusts · OST0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Matias Nielsen · OST0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Matias Nielsen · OST3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1*
- Matias Nielsen · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 32 → 30 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| RYB | OST | RYB | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.0 | 11 | +5.0 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 8.5 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 2 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Kamil Winkler | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Francis Gusts | 3 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 14.1 | 7 | -7.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.