GDA vs ZIE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 20, 2023 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 10Norbert Kościuch2 0 0 02
- 11Keynan Rew0 2 2 3 18
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen2 0 1 14+1
- 13Daniel Kaczmarek0 1 2 2 05
- 14Seweryn Orgacki1 0 01
- 15Miłosz Wysocki0 0 1 2 03+1
- 16Mads Hansen1 3 T 2 17
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 2 W 210+2
- 2Luke Becker3 2 3 1 312+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 3 3 1 312+1
- 4Rohan Tungate1 1 1 36
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 3 3 211+1
- 6Michał Curzytek3 3 06
- 7Maksym Borowiak2 1 03+2
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Keynan Rew · GDA0
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE3
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE2*
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE3
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · ZIE2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1*
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1
- Keynan Rew · GDA3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2*
- Luke Becker · ZIE1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 25 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| GDA | ZIE | GDA | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -12 | 10 % |
| 5 | -14 | 0 % |
| 6 | -18 | 6 % |
| 7 | -18 | 4 % |
| 8 | -20 | 1 % |
| 9 | -24 | 1 % |
| 10 | -24 | 2 % |
| 11 | -24 | 1 % |
| 12 | -20 | 0 % |
| 13 | -22 | 0 % |
| 14 | -26 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 5 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 11.6 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.