ZIE vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 12, 2023 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 3 3 210+1
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 3 1 18+1
- 11Rohan Tungate3 2 2 3 212+2
- 12Luke Becker1 3 3 2 312+1
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 3 210+1
- 14Maksym Borowiak2 2 04+2
- 15Michał Curzytek3 3 2 19+2
- 1Brady Kurtz2 W 0 02
- 2Patryk Wojdyło0 1 2 1 04
- 3Matej Zagar0 0 2 02
- 5Patrick Hansen2 2 1 3 311
- 6Kacper Tkocz1 0 0 12
- 7Kamil Winkler0 0 0 00
- 8Jan Kvech1 1 1 14+1
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE3
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Luke Becker · ZIE1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE2*
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · ZIE2*
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 30 → 28 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | RYB | ZIE | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +20 | 99 % |
| 7 | +22 | 100 % |
| 8 | +22 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +28 | 100 % |
| 11 | +32 | 100 % |
| 12 | +36 | 100 % |
| 13 | +36 | 100 % |
| 14 | +40 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michał Curzytek | 4 | 4.2 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 4 | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 11.9 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 6.3 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Kamil Winkler | 4 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 7.2 | 2 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.