RYB vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 23, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Brady Kurtz2 1 3 3 312+1
- 10Patryk Wojdyło2 2 1 2 29+1
- 11Matej Zagar1 3 D 15+1
- 13Patrick Hansen1 2 2 2 0 310+1
- 14Paweł Trześniewski0 1 0 01+1
- 15Kacper Tkocz1 D 01
- 16Jan Kvech0 1 12
- 1Oliver Berntzon3 3 0 06
- 2Francis Gusts2 1 2 3 210+1
- 3Grzegorz Walasek0 2 3 3 08
- 4Matias Nielsen3 0 1 15
- 5Tobiasz Musielak3 3 3 1 111
- 6Sebastian Szostak2 0 24+2
- 7Jakub Krawczyk3 0 2 16+2
Heat by heat
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST3
- Francis Gusts · OST2*
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Jan Kvech · RYB0
- Matias Nielsen · OST3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Matias Nielsen · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Francis Gusts · OST1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBD
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Matias Nielsen · OST1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Francis Gusts · OST2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Matej Zagar · RYBD
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2*
- Matias Nielsen · OST1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Francis Gusts · OST3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2*
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST1
- Patrick Hansen · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Francis Gusts · OST2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 26 km/h SW
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| RYB | OST | RYB | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -14 | 0 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 6.3 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 4 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jan Kvech | 3 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.