POZ vs ZIE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 23, 2023 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Kevin Fajfer1 3 1 1 06
- 10Jonas Seifert-Salk2 1 0 T3
- 11Antonio Lindbäck3 0 1 3 07
- 12Norbert KrakowiakW 2 3 D 27
- 13Oleksandr Loktayev3 2 U 3 210
- 14Oskar Hurysz3 1 3 07+1
- 15Kacper Teska2 0 02+1
- 1Przemysław PawlickiW 3 3 3 312
- 2Luke Becker1 1 2 26+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 1 2 2 310
- 4Rohan Tungate3 3 W 2 19+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 2 1 18+1
- 6Michał Curzytek1 0 01
- 7Dawid Rempała0 0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ1
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Luke Becker · ZIE1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Luke Becker · ZIE1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZU
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · ZIE2*
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ1
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ1
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZD
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ3
- Luke Becker · ZIE2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1*
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 27 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h SW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| POZ | ZIE | POZ | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +1 | 73 % |
| 10 | +3 | 84 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | -1 | 57 % |
| 13 | -1 | 56 % |
| 14 | -3 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Hurysz | 4 | 2.7 | 7 | +4.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 5 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 12.0 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 3 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.