BYD vs LAN
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 23, 2023 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kenneth BjerreD 1 1 24+1
- 10David Bellego3 3 2 2 010
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak3 3 2 2 212
- 12Szymon Szlauderbach2 1 1 04+1
- 13Andreas LyagerW 3 3 0 39
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 2 07+2
- 15Bartosz Nowak0 0 00
- 1Kai Huckenbeck2 2 3 3 3 114
- 2Kim NilssonW 1 0 12+2
- 3Lukas Baumann1 0 01
- 4Jonas Jeppesen1 2 1 1 27
- 5Dimitri Berge3 2 3 3 1 315
- 6Erik Bachhuber1 01+1
- 7Norick Blödorn2 0 0 13
Heat by heat
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Lukas Baumann · LAN1
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYDD
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN1*
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Lukas Baumann · LAN0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Kim Nilsson · LAN1*
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN1
- Lukas Baumann · LAN0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Bartosz Nowak · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN2
- Kim Nilsson · LAN1*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- David Bellego · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 16 km/h SW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 10 | +3 | −3 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| BYD | LAN | BYD | LAN | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -1 | 64 % |
| 4 | +3 | 83 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +5 | 88 % |
| 7 | +7 | 95 % |
| 8 | +11 | 98 % |
| 9 | +11 | 99 % |
| 10 | +11 | 100 % |
| 11 | +9 | 97 % |
| 12 | +7 | 98 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Dimitri Berge | 6 | 10.7 | 15 | +4.3 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Lukas Baumann | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 7.6 | 2 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.