ZIE vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 9, 2023 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 3 312
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 2 2 0 310+2
- 11Rohan Tungate2 2 1 D 16+2
- 12Viktor Trofymov1 0 2 14+1
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski2 1 3 2 210+1
- 14Maksym BorowiakU 00
- 15Michał Curzytek2 3 16
- 16Dawid Rempała1 01
- 1Daniel Kaczmarek0 2 02
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 0 11
- 4Keynan Rew2 1 2 2 18+1
- 5Nicolai Klindt3 W 3 3 1 010
- 6Seweryn Orgacki1 01
- 7Miłosz Wysocki3 1 0 3 07
- 8Mads Hansen1 3 1 2 3 212+2
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIEU
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Viktor Trofymov · ZIE1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Viktor Trofymov · ZIE0
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Viktor Trofymov · ZIE2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2*
- Viktor Trofymov · ZIE1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIED
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 30 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| ZIE | GDA | ZIE | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miłosz Wysocki | 5 | 3.5 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Dawid Rempała | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.