RYB vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 8, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Brady Kurtz2 3 3 3 112+2
- 10Patryk Wojdyło3 1 W 2 17+1
- 11Matej Zagar3 3 0 17
- 13Patrick Hansen2 3 3 3 213
- 14Paweł Trześniewski2 2 04+1
- 15Kacper Tkocz1 0 01+1
- 16Jan Kvech1 1 2 1 05+1
- 1Andreas Lyager1 1 2 0 26+2
- 2Mateusz Szczepaniak0 2 13
- 3David Bellego0 00
- 4Szymon Szlauderbach0 2 2 2 1 310
- 5Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 2 0 010+1
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 1 1 3 311
- 7Olivier Buszkiewicz0 00
- 8Benjamin Basso11+1
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2*
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Jan Kvech · RYB0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 27 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 28 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| RYB | BYD | RYB | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 8.4 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 6 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Benjamin Basso | 1 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| David Bellego | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.