GDA vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 24, 2023 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Daniel Kaczmarek3 1 0 2 06
- 10Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 0 311
- 11Keynan Rew0 3 1 2 06
- 12Michael Jepsen JensenD 1 2 14+1
- 14Seweryn Orgacki1 1 U2
- 15Miłosz Wysocki3 0 W3
- 16Mads Hansen1 3 1 1 28
- 1Brady Kurtz2 2 1 05+1
- 2Patryk Wojdyło3 1 2 3 110+2
- 3Matej Zagar1 2 2 3 311+2
- 5Patrick Hansen2 3 3 2 212+2
- 6Paweł TrześniewskiW M D0
- 7Kacper Tkocz2 U 13
- 8Jan Kvech2 0 3 3 19
Heat by heat
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1*
- Keynan Rew · GDA0
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA3
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB2
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDAD
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYBM
- Keynan Rew · GDA3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1
- Jan Kvech · RYB0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBU
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDAU
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYBD
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1*
- Keynan Rew · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 22 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 23 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GDA | RYB | GDA | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.