BYD vs ZIE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 25, 2023 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre3 1 1 16+1
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak1 3 2 3 110
- 11Szymon Szlauderbach0 1 1 13+1
- 13David Bellego2 1 0 03
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 3 2 011
- 15Olivier Buszkiewicz1 2 03
- 16Benjamin Basso1 2 3 W 17+2
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 2 3 3 316
- 2Luke Becker0 U0
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 3 1 1 39+3
- 4Rohan Tungate0 0 00
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 2 2 2 213+2
- 6Michał Curzytek2 2 0 0 26+1
- 7Maksym Borowiak0 0 33
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1*
- Luke Becker · ZIE0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Benjamin Basso · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 27 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| BYD | ZIE | BYD | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 5.4 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Michał Curzytek | 5 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 12.6 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Luke Becker | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Rohan Tungate | 3 | 5.4 | 0 | -5.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.