RYB vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 18, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Brady Kurtz0 3 1 0 04
- 10Patryk Wojdyło3 1 3 3 111
- 11Matej Zagar1 3 2 2 311+1
- 13Patrick Hansen1 D 2 D3+1
- 14Paweł Trześniewski3 2 16+1
- 15Kacper Tkocz0 1 01
- 16Jan Kvech2 2 3 2 312+1
- 1Kevin Fajfer3 2 0 27+1
- 3Norbert Krakowiak2 0 3 3 1 09+1
- 4Adrian Gała1 1 D2
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev3 0 1 2 28
- 6Kacper Teska1 0 01+1
- 7Oskar Hurysz2 2 15
- 8Jonas Seifert-Salk0 3 2 1 3 110+1
Heat by heat
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2*
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2*
- Adrian Gała · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2*
- Adrian Gała · POZ1
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Patrick Hansen · RYBD
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Adrian Gała · POZD
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ1
- Patrick Hansen · RYBD
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| RYB | POZ | RYB | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.9 | 6 | +3.1 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 4 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Patrick Hansen | 4 | 7.1 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.9 | 4 | -6.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.