GDA vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 18, 2023 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Daniel Kaczmarek2 3 3 1 312
- 10Nicolai Klindt1 2 0 2 27+2
- 11Keynan Rew1 2 2 2 07+2
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 W 03+2
- 14Seweryn Orgacki1 0 01
- 15Miłosz Wysocki2 0 35
- 16Mads Hansen3 3 2 3 112+1
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 2 1 2 210+2
- 3Szymon Szlauderbach0 3 3 1 18+1
- 4David Bellego2 02+1
- 5Mateusz Szczepaniak0 0 1 0 01
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 3 3 315
- 7Olivier BuszkiewiczM 1 12
- 8Benjamin Basso1 1 1 2 05+1
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYDM
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2*
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1*
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1*
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA0
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Benjamin Basso · BYD0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1*
- Keynan Rew · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 18 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GDA | BYD | GDA | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.9 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| David Bellego | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.1 | 1 | -6.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.