RYB vs ZIE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, April 20, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Patryk Wojdyło1 1 1 03+2
- 10Brady KurtzW 2 2 2 1 18
- 11Matej Zagar0 11
- 12Krystian Pieszczek3 03
- 13Patrick Hansen1 3 1 D 2 310
- 14Kacper Tkocz0 1 01
- 15Paweł Trześniewski3 0 25+1
- 16Jan Kvech2 1 3 17+1
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 3 3 213
- 2Viktor TrofymovW0
- 3Rasmus Jensen2 2 2 D 39+3
- 4Rohan Tungate3 3 3 0 211+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 3 3 011
- 6Michał Curzytek2 2 1 1 06+2
- 7Dawid Rempała1 0 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1
- Patrick Hansen · RYBD
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIED
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 7 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h N
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| RYB | ZIE | RYB | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -16 | 2 % |
| 11 | -16 | 1 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Michał Curzytek | 5 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 2 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Dawid Rempała | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 2 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 11.9 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 12.4 | 8 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.