KRO vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 10, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Mateusz Szczepaniak1 2 2 0 0 38
- 10Andzejs Lebedevs3 1 3 1 2 313+2
- 11Rafał Karczmarz0 0 1 3 04
- 13Tobiasz Musielak3 3 3 3 3 217+1
- 14Franciszek Karczewski3 0 2 05+1
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski1 0 01
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 2 3 010
- 2Ernest Koza1 1 1 2 16+4
- 3Philip Hellström Bängs2 1 1 04+2
- 4Oskar Fajfer1 3 2 2 210+1
- 5Antonio Lindbäck2 3 2 1 19
- 6Mikołaj Czapla0 0 00
- 7Marcel Studziński2 0 13+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI3
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO3
- Marcel Studziński · GNI2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI2
- Ernest Koza · GNI1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI1
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI2
- Ernest Koza · GNI1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI2
- Ernest Koza · GNI1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI2
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO3
- Ernest Koza · GNI2
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Ernest Koza · GNI1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KRO | GNI | KRO | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 11.8 | 17 | +5.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 4 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.7 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 6 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 5 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.