ZIE vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 22, 2022 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Max Fricke3 1 3 3 3 215+1
- 11Rohan Tungate1 2 T 3 39
- 12Jan Kvech2 0 13
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 3 D 39+1
- 14Dawid Rempała1 0 01+1
- 15Fabian Ragus2 0 0 13
- 16Mateusz Tonder2 3 2 0 18+1
- 1Daniel JeleniewskiD 3 0 14+1
- 2Adrian Miedziński3 1 1 2 W7
- 3Kenneth Bjerre2 3 2 2 110
- 4Olegs Mihailovs1 1 13+1
- 5Matej Zagar0 2 3 1 28
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 2 2 010+1
- 7Przemysław Konieczny0 0 D0
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYDD
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1*
- Matej Zagar · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2*
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD2
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYDD
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Matej Zagar · BYD1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIED
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 18 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| ZIE | BYD | ZIE | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 6 | 12.0 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Fabian Ragus | 4 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Jan Kvech | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.