GDA vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 22, 2022 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Viktor Trofymov1 1 0 02
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 3 2 3 314
- 11Jakub Jamróg0 3 3 3 312
- 12Adrian Gała2 1 1 3 29+2
- 13Timo Lahti3 3 1 2 110+1
- 14Miłosz Wysocki2 0 U2+1
- 15Kamil Marciniec3 0 14
- 1Grzegorz Zengota3 2 3 1 1 212+1
- 2Patryk Wojdyło0 1 1 24+1
- 3Nicolai Klindt2 2 2 0 06+2
- 4Krystian Pieszczek2 0 3 2 07
- 5Andreas Lyager1 2 2 16
- 6Paweł Trześniewski1 1 0 02+1
- 7Kacper TkoczU U0
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB3
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB2*
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBU
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2*
- Andreas Lyager · RYB1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Andreas Lyager · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB3
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB2*
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDAU
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Andreas Lyager · RYB2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB2
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB1*
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBU
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2*
- Andreas Lyager · RYB1
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB1
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB2
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 13 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GDA | RYB | GDA | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 5.4 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 4 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.