KRO vs BYD

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, May 13, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno

Results

KRO 44 : 45 BYD

KRO

9Tobiasz Musielak1 2 2 3 311
10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 0 0 U4+1
11Vaclav Milik0 3 2 2 310
12Rafał KarczmarzT 0 1 01+1
13Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 2 2 211+1
14Franciszek Karczewski3 D D3
15Krzysztof Sadurski2 1 T 14+2

BYD

1Daniel Jeleniewski3 2 3 1 09+1
2Adrian Miedziński3 W 1 3 18
3Kenneth Bjerre2 2 3 1 210+1
4Olegs Mihailovs2 1 1 26+1
5Matej Zagar0 3 3 3 110
6Wiktor Przyjemski1 1 02
7Przemysław Konieczny0 0 T0

Heat by heat

Heat 167.59 s1:5

Heat 266.90 s5:1

Heat 366.66 s3:3

Heat 467.28 s3:3

Heat 567.04 s3:3

Heat 667.37 s3:2

Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2

Heat 766.59 s3:3

Heat 868.50 s2:4

Heat 967.63 s2:4

Heat 1066.47 s3:3

Heat 1167.69 s3:3

Heat 1266.78 s3:3

Heat 1366.47 s2:4

Heat 1466.94 s3:3

Heat 1566.66 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 16 → 14 °C; Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Wind: 5 km/h W; gusts up to 15 km/h; Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 2.9 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 81 %; Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	12	12	0	0
5–7	9	8	+1	−1
8–10	7	11	−4	+4
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	KRO	BYD	KRO	BYD

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead KRO

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	0	64 %
3	0	64 %
4	0	62 %
5	0	64 %
6	+1	74 %
7	+1	70 %
8	-1	57 %
9	-3	44 %
10	-3	36 %
11	-3	36 %
12	-3	35 %
13	-5	14 %
14	-5	8 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Daniel Jeleniewski	5	5.8	9	+3.2
Olegs Mihailovs	4	4.3	6	+1.7
Vaclav Milik	5	8.7	10	+1.3
Matej Zagar	5	8.8	10	+1.2
Krzysztof Sadurski	4	2.9	4	+1.1
Andzejs Lebedevs	5	10.0	11	+1.0
Kenneth Bjerre	5	9.0	10	+1.0
Tobiasz Musielak	5	10.6	11	+0.4
Adrian Miedziński	5	8.7	8	-0.7
Franciszek Karczewski	3	3.9	3	-0.9
Przemysław Konieczny	3	1.8	0	-1.8
Rafał Karczmarz	3	3.3	1	-2.3
Wiktor Przyjemski	3	4.7	2	-2.7
Mateusz Szczepaniak	5	7.6	4	-3.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.5066.47 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.3:33.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.10

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source