ZIE vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 1, 2022 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 W 2 D6+1
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 2 1 210+1
- 11Rohan Tungate2 1 3 2 08
- 12Jan KvechW 3 1 04
- 13Max Fricke3 3 3 3 315
- 14Fabian Ragus1 1 02+1
- 15Dawid Rempała2 0 02
- 1Rasmus Jensen3 2 3 1 1 111+1
- 2Adrian Gała1 1 1 3 39+1
- 3Timo Lahti0 2 2 3 0 29
- 4Viktor Trofymov2 0 13+1
- 5Jakub Jamróg2 1 2 27
- 6Kamil Marciniec0 00
- 7Marcel Krzykowski3 0 0 14
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Timo Lahti · GDA0
- Marcel Krzykowski · GDA3
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE2
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA2
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Marcel Krzykowski · GDA0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Marcel Krzykowski · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Marcel Krzykowski · GDA1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Timo Lahti · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIED
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 20 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h N
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | GDA | ZIE | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.1 | 15 | +3.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Marcel Krzykowski | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Fabian Ragus | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.