RYB vs KRO

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, May 2, 2022 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik

Results

RYB 40 : 50 KRO

RYB

9Nicolai Klindt2 3 0 2 18+1
10Patryk Wojdyło3 1 2 2 0 08
11Andreas Lyager0 3 2 3 2 313
12Krystian Pieszczek2 2 15+2
13Grzegorz Zengota0 3 1 W4
14Kacper Tkocz0 0 00
15Paweł Trześniewski2 0 02

KRO

1Tobiasz Musielak1 2 3 W 28+1
2Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 1 3 19+2
3Vaclav Milik3 1 3 1 311
4Rafał Karczmarz2 0 2 15+1
5Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 3 3 211
6Franciszek Karczewski3 1 04+1
7Krzysztof Sadurski1 0 12

Heat by heat

Heat 164.27 s2:4

Heat 264.76 s2:4

Heat 364.85 s2:4

Heat 464.10 s3:3

Heat 564.48 s5:1

Heat 663.80 s3:3

Heat 763.84 s4:2

Heat 864.91 s1:5

Heat 964.49 s2:4

Heat 1064.18 s3:3

Heat 1164.71 s5:1

Heat 1264.93 s2:4

Heat 1364.18 s2:4

Heat 1465.38 s1:5

Heat 1564.30 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 17 → 12 °C; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Wind: 7 km/h NW; gusts up to 17 km/h; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 68 %; Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	9	15	−6	+6
5–7	12	6	+6	−6
8–10	6	12	−6	+6
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	RYB	KRO	RYB	KRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead RYB

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-6	32 %
4	-6	23 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-2	48 %
7	0	60 %
8	-4	35 %
9	-6	20 %
10	-6	15 %
11	-2	36 %
12	-4	20 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-10	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Nicolai Klindt	5	5.6	8	+2.4
Andreas Lyager	6	10.6	13	+2.4
Vaclav Milik	5	9.0	11	+2.0
Krystian Pieszczek	3	3.1	5	+1.9
Mateusz Szczepaniak	5	8.6	9	+0.4
Andzejs Lebedevs	5	10.7	11	+0.3
Rafał Karczmarz	4	5.0	5	-0.0
Franciszek Karczewski	3	4.3	4	-0.3
Patryk Wojdyło	6	8.4	8	-0.4
Krzysztof Sadurski	3	2.6	2	-0.6
Paweł Trześniewski	3	3.0	2	-1.0
Grzegorz Zengota	4	6.3	4	-2.3
Kacper Tkocz	3	2.4	0	-2.4
Tobiasz Musielak	5	10.5	8	-2.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.3863.80 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 31.3:34.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.53 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source