ZIE vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 24, 2022 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 2 2 311+2
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 0 2 29
- 11Rohan Tungate0 3 1 3 07+1
- 12Jan Kvech1 1 2 37+1
- 13Max Fricke2 3 T 0 W5
- 14Maksym Borowiak3 1 15
- 15Antoni Mencel2 0 2 15+1
- 1Vaclav Milik2 2 3 1 1 110+1
- 3Tobiasz Musielak1 0 W 34+1
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak2 2 3 0 18
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 1 3 3 215
- 6Franciszek Karczewski1 0 0 0 01
- 7Krzysztof Sadurski0 00
- 8Keynan RewT 1 23+1
Heat by heat
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE3
- Antoni Mencel · ZIE2*
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Keynan Rew · KRO1*
- Antoni Mencel · ZIE0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Antoni Mencel · ZIE2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · KRO2
- Antoni Mencel · ZIE1
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Max Fricke · ZIE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | KRO | ZIE | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 10.3 | 15 | +4.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.2 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Antoni Mencel | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Keynan Rew | 2 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 5 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.