KRO vs ZIE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, September 12, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Vaclav Milik2 2 2 2 210+1
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak1 1 3 2 07+2
- 12Tobiasz Musielak0 2 1 1 26+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 2 2 110+1
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski2 3 05+1
- 15Franciszek Karczewski3 2 38+1
- 16Keynan Rew1 3 0 04
- 1Piotr Protasiewicz00
- 2Jan Kvech1 1 1 1 15
- 3Rohan Tungate3 3 3 3 3 015
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski2 W 1 0 36
- 5Max Fricke3 1 3 2 1 313
- 6Maksym Borowiak1 0 01
- 7Antoni Mencel0 0 00
- 8Mateusz Tonder00
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Antoni Mencel · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Keynan Rew · KRO1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO2*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Keynan Rew · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Antoni Mencel · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Keynan Rew · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE0
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Antoni Mencel · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Keynan Rew · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| KRO | ZIE | KRO | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 8.3 | 15 | +6.7 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.6 | 8 | +4.4 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 13.6 | 13 | -0.6 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.