ZIE vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, August 19, 2022 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Piotr Protasiewicz2 3 3 3 314+1
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski2 1 0 14
- 11Rohan Tungate3 1 3 2 312
- 12Jan Kvech2 3 1 2 08+2
- 13Max Fricke3 2 3 3 112
- 14Maksym Borowiak2 0 02
- 15Fabian Ragus0 0 00
- 1Brady Kurtz1 1 2 W 26
- 2Luke Becker0 3 2 1 3 211+1
- 3Norbert Kościuch0 00
- 4Marcin Nowak3 2 1 1 W 18+2
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 2 07
- 6Nikodem Bartoch3 1 0 15
- 7Aleksander Grygolec1 01
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD3
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Marcin Nowak · LODW
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | LOD | ZIE | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 5.9 | 14 | +8.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 4 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Marcin Nowak | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Fabian Ragus | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.6 | 6 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.