KRO vs LAN
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 21, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak3 3 3 2 213+1
- 10Keynan Rew2 1 1 2 39+1
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak1 34+1
- 12Vaclav Milik2 2 D4+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 3 3 314+1
- 14Franciszek Karczewski3 1 15+1
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski1 3 2 U6+1
- 16Rafał Karczmarz1 2 W3
- 2Tobias BuschD 0 0 11
- 3Valentin Grobauer0 0 0 00
- 4Mads Hansen2 3 3 2 3 1 115
- 5Dimitri Berge1 2 2 3 1 D9
- 6Norick Blödorn2 0 1 1 1 27
- 7Mario Niedermayer0 0 M0
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Mads Hansen · LAN2
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO1
- Valentin Grobauer · LAN0
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Mario Niedermayer · LAN0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Tobias Busch · LAND
- Mads Hansen · LAN3
- Keynan Rew · KRO2
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO1*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Mads Hansen · LAN3
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1*
- Valentin Grobauer · LAN0
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Tobias Busch · LAN0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Keynan Rew · KRO1
- Mario Niedermayer · LAN0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Mads Hansen · LAN2
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO1
- Valentin Grobauer · LAN0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Keynan Rew · KRO1
- Tobias Busch · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Mads Hansen · LAN3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Vaclav Milik · KROD
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2*
- Tobias Busch · LAN1
- Mario Niedermayer · LANM
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Keynan Rew · KRO2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Valentin Grobauer · LAN0
- Keynan Rew · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Mads Hansen · LAN1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KROU
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Mads Hansen · LAN1
- Dimitri Berge · LAND
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KRO | LAN | KRO | LAN | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.5 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 4 | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Mads Hansen | 7 | 12.6 | 15 | +2.4 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 2 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Vaclav Milik | 3 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Tobias Busch | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 6 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Dimitri Berge | 6 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Valentin Grobauer | 4 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Mario Niedermayer | 3 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.