BYD vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, August 12, 2022 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre3 2 2 3 313
- 10Olegs Mihailovs3 1 T 15+2
- 11Adrian MiedzińskiW 0 1 23+1
- 12Daniel Jeleniewski2 2 3 1 311
- 13Matej Zagar1 3 2 2 210+3
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 3 311+1
- 15Przemysław Konieczny0 2 0 13+1
- 1Timo Lahti2 1 1 1 2 1 08
- 2Jakub Jamróg0 0 0 22
- 3Viktor Trofymov1 1 1 0 0 03
- 5Rasmus Jensen3 3 3 3 2 3 118
- 6Kamil Marciniec2 0 02
- 7Miłosz Wysocki1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2
- Matej Zagar · BYD1*
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · BYD3
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD2*
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2*
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1*
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD2*
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Timo Lahti · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 27 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| BYD | GDA | BYD | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 5.9 | 11 | +5.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.2 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 7 | 17.2 | 18 | +0.8 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 4 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 6 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 4 | 6.3 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 7 | 13.0 | 8 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.