LOD vs ZIE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 6, 2022 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Brady Kurtz1 2 3 3 110+1
- 10Luke Becker2 3 1 1 29
- 11Norbert Kościuch0 2 1 25+1
- 12Marcin Nowak1 0 2 2 05+1
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 2 3 314
- 14Aleksander Grygolec2 1 03+2
- 15Nikodem Bartoch3 0 14+1
- 1Max Fricke3 2 2 1 19
- 3Rohan Tungate2 3 3 3 0 213+1
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 1 05
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 1 3 2 3 U11
- 6Maksym Borowiak1 0 0 01
- 7Fabian Ragus0 00
- 8Mateusz Tonder0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD1*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIEU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h NW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | ZIE | LOD | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.7 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Fabian Ragus | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.