KRO vs GDA

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 23, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno

Results

KRO 58 : 32 GDA
KRO
GDA

Heat by heat

Heat 170.35 s4:2
Heat 269.72 s3:3
Heat 369.90 s5:1
Heat 469.16 s4:2
Heat 570.81 s5:1
Heat 670.16 s2:4
Heat 769.13 s5:1
Heat 870.85 s5:1
Heat 970.21 s3:3
Heat 1069.37 s5:1
Heat 1170.12 s2:4
Heat 1270.19 s5:1
Heat 1370.22 s3:3
Heat 1469.06 s5:1
Heat 1569.28 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy → Rain
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
32 → 29 °C
Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Wind
6 km/h N
gusts up to 17 km/h
Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Rain during the meeting
2.1 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.3 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
39 %
Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7126+6−6
8–10135+8−8
11–13108+2−2
14–1575+2−2
KROGDAKROGDA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead KRO
510152025115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+277 %
3+690 %
4+893 %
5+1297 %
6+1097 %
7+14100 %
8+18100 %
9+18100 %
10+22100 %
11+20100 %
12+24100 %
13+24100 %
14+28100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Keynan Rew67.914+6.1
Krzysztof Sadurski32.86+3.2
Vaclav Milik610.513+2.5
Mateusz Szczepaniak69.711+1.3
Tobiasz Musielak69.811+1.2
Viktor Trofymov66.27+0.8
Kamil Marciniec32.12-0.1
Rasmus Jensen614.213-1.2
Karol Żupiński32.31-1.3
Franciszek Karczewski34.83-1.8
Piotr Gryszpiński42.40-2.4
Jakub Jamróg36.84-2.8
Timo Lahti510.55-5.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 70.8569.06 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 44.7:24.7 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −1.23 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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