GNI vs ZIE

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 24, 2022 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno

Results

GNI 46 : 44 ZIE
GNI
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 164.01 s4:2
Heat 265.62 s1:5
Heat 365.60 s3:3
Heat 464.91 s3:3
Heat 565.54 s1:5
Heat 665.60 s3:3
Heat 765.54 s4:2
Heat 866.30 s2:4
Heat 965.26 s5:1
Heat 1065.54 s3:3
Heat 1165.19 s5:1
Heat 1265.82 s3:3
Heat 1365.60 s3:3
Heat 1465.19 s1:5
Heat 1565.05 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
23 → 25 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
16 km/h NW
gusts up to 32 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
2.3 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
43 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41113−2+2
5–7810−2+2
8–10108+2−2
11–13117+4−4
14–156600
GNIZIEGNIZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GNI
-6-4-202115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2-254 %
3-247 %
4-246 %
5-622 %
6-624 %
7-432 %
8-616 %
9-244 %
10-236 %
11+268 %
12+273 %
13+274 %
14-223 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Szymon Szlauderbach55.115+9.9
Michael Jepsen Jensen58.811+2.2
Antonio Lindbäck57.18+0.9
Zbigniew Suchecki44.65+0.4
Fabian Ragus32.93+0.1
Piotr Protasiewicz58.08+0.0
Maksym Borowiak34.14-0.1
Max Fricke510.910-0.9
Marcel Studziński32.51-1.5
Mikołaj Czapla31.90-1.9
Rohan Tungate58.97-1.9
Krzysztof Buczkowski510.18-2.1
Jan Kvech46.44-2.4
Oskar Fajfer58.76-2.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 66.3064.01 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 32.7:34.7 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +0.53 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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