BYD vs LAN
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 24, 2022 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre2 3 2 29
- 10Daniel Jeleniewski1 1 1 14
- 11Matej ZagarD 0 2 35+1
- 12Olegs Mihailovs3 1 3 07
- 13Adrian Miedziński1 3 2 06+1
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 3 3 113
- 15Przemysław Konieczny1 1 1 03
- 16Bartosz Głogowski11
- 1Kai Huckenbeck3 2 0 3 3 2 215+1
- 2Mario Niedermayer0 U0
- 3Erik Riss1 2 0 1 2 W6+2
- 5Dimitri Berge2 3 2 M 3 313
- 6Norick Blödorn2 0 2 1 1 28
- 7Erik Bachhuber0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Erik Riss · LAN1
- Matej Zagar · BYDD
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1
- Mario Niedermayer · LAN0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Erik Riss · LAN2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Matej Zagar · BYD0
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD2*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Erik Riss · LAN0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Mario Niedermayer · LANU
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Dimitri Berge · LANM
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Erik Riss · LAN1
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Erik Riss · LAN2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Bartosz Głogowski · BYD1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| BYD | LAN | BYD | LAN | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 4.0 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 4 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 7 | 14.3 | 15 | +0.7 |
| Dimitri Berge | 6 | 12.3 | 13 | +0.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 6 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Bartosz Głogowski | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Erik Riss | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Mario Niedermayer | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.