ZIE vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 17, 2022 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Piotr Protasiewicz1 2 3 06+2
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 210+2
- 11Rohan Tungate2 3 3 3 314
- 12Mateusz Tonder1 1 2 37+1
- 13Max Fricke3 36
- 14Fabian Ragus2 D 0 24+1
- 15Maksym Borowiak1 1 1 14+1
- 16Jan Kvech2 3 38
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 2 3 1 1 1 213+1
- 2Rafał Karczmarz0 0 0 0 22
- 4Kacper SzopaW 00
- 5Mateusz Szczepaniak2 2 1 1 2 0 08
- 6Franciszek Karczewski3 2 0 1 06
- 7Krzysztof Sadurski0 0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO3
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE2*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Kacper Szopa · KRO0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 21 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 10 | +3 | −3 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| ZIE | KRO | ZIE | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +3 | 83 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +7 | 95 % |
| 7 | +11 | 99 % |
| 8 | +9 | 98 % |
| 9 | +13 | 100 % |
| 10 | +17 | 100 % |
| 11 | +17 | 100 % |
| 12 | +19 | 100 % |
| 13 | +23 | 100 % |
| 14 | +27 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.1 | 14 | +3.9 |
| Jan Kvech | 3 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| Max Fricke | 2 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Fabian Ragus | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 4 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 5 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 7 | 13.2 | 13 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 5 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Kacper Szopa | 2 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 7 | 11.2 | 8 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.