GDA vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 17, 2022 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Viktor TrofymovT 1 3 1 0 27+1
- 10Adrian GałaD0
- 11Timo Lahti3 2 2 2 3 1 114+1
- 13Rasmus Jensen3 3 3 2 0 314
- 14Karol Żupiński0 1 1 02
- 15Kamil Marciniec0 0 1 12+1
- 16Piotr Gryszpiński2 0 0 T2+1
- 1Kenneth Bjerre2 2 2 3 211+1
- 2Daniel Jeleniewski1 1 3 2 07+1
- 3Matej Zagar1 3 2 3 09+1
- 4Olegs Mihailovs3 0 1 15+1
- 5Adrian Miedziński0 1 12
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski2 2 3 2 312+3
- 7Przemysław Konieczny3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Matej Zagar · BYD1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD0
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GDAD
- Matej Zagar · BYD3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA3
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA2*
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2*
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA1
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA2
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Matej Zagar · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 19 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 28 km/h W
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GDA | BYD | GDA | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 7 | 13.6 | 14 | +0.4 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 13.9 | 14 | +0.1 |
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Adrian Gała | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 5.3 | 2 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.