ZIE vs LAN
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 3, 2022 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Piotr Protasiewicz3 2 2 18+2
- 10Max Fricke3 3 3 312
- 11Rohan Tungate1 2 2 38+1
- 12Jan Kvech1 3 1 16+2
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 3 0 311
- 14Fabian Ragus1 0 01+1
- 15Dawid Rempała2 0 13
- 16Mateusz Tonder3 3 17
- 1Kai Huckenbeck2 2 W4
- 2Kim Nilsson0 1 T 23+1
- 3Erik Riss0 0 1 23+1
- 4Mads Hansen2 1 2 2 2 09
- 5Dimitri Berge3 1 3 0 1 210+1
- 6Norick Blödorn3 1 1 0 05+1
- 7Erik Bachhuber0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Erik Riss · LAN0
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE2
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE1*
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Mads Hansen · LAN2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Mads Hansen · LAN1
- Erik Riss · LAN0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Kim Nilsson · LAN1*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Mads Hansen · LAN2
- Erik Riss · LAN1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE3
- Mads Hansen · LAN2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Erik Riss · LAN2
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Mads Hansen · LAN2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Mads Hansen · LAN0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 26 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | LAN | ZIE | LAN | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 3.4 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Dimitri Berge | 6 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Fabian Ragus | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Erik Riss | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 3 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 3 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.