KRO vs RYB

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 3, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno

Results

KRO 51 : 39 RYB
KRO
RYB

Heat by heat

Heat 170.91 s3:3
Heat 270.65 s5:1
Heat 371.53 s5:1
Heat 471.16 s4:2
Heat 571.34 s5:1
Heat 671.15 s1:5
Heat 771.66 s5:1
Heat 872.90 s4:2
Heat 973.00 s3:3
Heat 1071.60 s3:3
Heat 1172.98 s2:4
Heat 1271.94 s1:5
Heat 1372.18 s3:3
Heat 1473.50 s5:1
Heat 1571.81 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Clear
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
25 → 26 °C
Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Wind
8 km/h W
gusts up to 15 km/h
Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
44 %
Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4177+10−10
5–7117+4−4
8–10108+2−2
11–13612−6+6
14–1575+2−2
KRORYBKRORYB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead KRO
051015115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+486 %
3+894 %
4+1098 %
5+14100 %
6+1097 %
7+14100 %
8+16100 %
9+16100 %
10+16100 %
11+14100 %
12+1098 %
13+10100 %
14+14100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Mateusz Szczepaniak57.112+4.9
Krystian Pieszczek68.210+1.8
Tobiasz Musielak59.211+1.8
Grzegorz Zengota59.411+1.6
Paweł Trześniewski43.24+0.8
Krzysztof Sadurski32.83+0.2
Nicolai Klindt45.86+0.2
Lech Chlebowski10.90-0.9
Kacper Tkocz10.90-0.9
Franciszek Karczewski46.05-1.0
Vaclav Milik510.29-1.2
Andzejs Lebedevs510.39-1.3
Rafał Karczmarz33.32-1.3
Patryk Wojdyło55.64-1.6
Andreas Lyager47.04-3.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 73.5070.65 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.0:27.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −2.07 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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