GNI vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, July 4, 2022 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Antonio Lindbäck1 0 3 2 2 08
- 10Ernest Koza1 2 1 04
- 11Philip Hellström BängsW 0 11+1
- 12Oskar Fajfer3 1 2 W 3 211
- 13Peter Kildemand1 2 1 1 38
- 14Marcel Studziński2 3 05+1
- 15Mikołaj Czapla3 1 U4+1
- 1Piotr Gryszpiński2 0 13+2
- 2Rasmus Jensen0 3 3 2 3 314
- 3Adrian Gała3 2 2 3 W10+2
- 5Timo Lahti2 3 3 3 2 114
- 6Kamil Marciniec1 0 01
- 7Karol Żupiński0 1 12
- 8Viktor Trofymov2 0 1 25
Heat by heat
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI3
- Marcel Studziński · GNI2*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Marcel Studziński · GNI3
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA2
- Ernest Koza · GNI1
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1*
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Ernest Koza · GNI2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2*
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Ernest Koza · GNI1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Philip Hellström Bängs · GNI1*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNIU
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Peter Kildemand · GNI3
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1*
- Ernest Koza · GNI0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GDA1
- Antonio Lindbäck · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 18 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GNI | GDA | GNI | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 12.2 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 14.4 | 14 | -0.4 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.