GDA vs ZIE

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 26, 2022 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk

Results

GDA 50 : 40 ZIE
GDA
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 165.31 s3:3
Heat 266.31 s4:2
Heat 365.40 s4:2
Heat 466.15 s4:2
Heat 564.81 s3:3
Heat 665.76 s1:5
Heat 766.28 s1:5
Heat 866.79 s3:3
Heat 965.71 s4:2
Heat 1066.12 s4:2
Heat 1165.91 s3:3
Heat 1267.00 s4:2
Heat 1366.69 s5:1
Heat 1466.78 s2:4
Heat 1565.56 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
30 °C
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Wind
21 km/h SE
gusts up to 32 km/h
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
34 %
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–7513−8+8
8–10117+4−4
11–13126+6−6
14–1575+2−2
GDAZIEGDAZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GDA
-20246810115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3+482 %
4+690 %
5+690 %
6+274 %
7-246 %
8-248 %
9056 %
10+270 %
11+268 %
12+486 %
13+898 %
14+6100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Adrian Gała67.212+4.8
Jan Kvech55.79+3.3
Rasmus Jensen614.217+2.8
Kamil Marciniec31.74+2.3
Dawid Rempała43.95+1.1
Mateusz Tonder11.42+0.6
Piotr Gryszpiński52.73+0.3
Krzysztof Buczkowski48.48-0.4
Karol Żupiński42.82-0.8
Piotr Protasiewicz47.26-1.2
Timo Lahti613.312-1.3
Nile Tufft33.50-3.5
Max Fricke612.99-3.9
Rohan Tungate35.11-4.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.0064.81 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 39.3:32.7 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +1.07 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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