GDA vs LAN
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 19, 2022 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Adrian Gała2 3 1 2 19+2
- 10Rasmus Jensen2 2 3 2 211+1
- 11Jakub Jamróg3 3 W 3 U9
- 12Viktor Trofymov1 2 25+1
- 13Timo Lahti3 3 3 1 313+1
- 14Miłosz Wysocki0 T 00
- 15Kamil Marciniec1 0 01
- 16Piotr Gryszpiński00
- 1Kai Huckenbeck1 2 0 3 3 211
- 2Kim Nilsson2 T 2 2 06
- 3Erik Riss0 1 2 3 17
- 4Mads Hansen1 0 1 13+1
- 5Dimitri Berge0 1 1 02
- 6Norick Blödorn2 3 1 3 110+3
- 7Erik Bachhuber3 03
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- Erik Riss · LAN0
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN0
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · LAN1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA2*
- Erik Riss · LAN1
- Mads Hansen · LAN0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Erik Riss · LAN2
- Mads Hansen · LAN1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN0
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA2
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDAW
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · LAN1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Erik Riss · LAN3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Timo Lahti · GDA1*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Erik Riss · LAN1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDAU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 22 km/h NE
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GDA | LAN | GDA | LAN | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 5.3 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Erik Riss | 5 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 2 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Dimitri Berge | 4 | 6.2 | 2 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.