BYD vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 19, 2022 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 3 214
- 10Olegs Mihailovs1 1 1 0 14
- 11Daniel Jeleniewski0 00
- 12Adrian Miedziński0 1 3 1 W5
- 13Matej Zagar2 3 2 3 111
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 U 1 310
- 15Przemysław Konieczny1 0 12
- 1Tobiasz Musielak2 1 2 05+1
- 2Rafał Karczmarz3 2 0 27
- 3Vaclav Milik1 2 1 15+3
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak2 3 3 2 2 W12+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 2 2 3 313
- 6Franciszek Karczewski2 0 02
- 7Krzysztof Sadurski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO2
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · BYD3
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYDU
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO2
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Matej Zagar · BYD3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Matej Zagar · BYD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 34 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 23 km/h S
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 30 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| BYD | KRO | BYD | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 6 | 7.1 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.6 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.