OST vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, June 7, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt3 2 16+1
- 10Tomasz Gapiński1 3 3 310
- 11Daniel Kaczmarek2 1 25+2
- 12Grzegorz Walasek3 3 3 312
- 13Oliver Berntzon0 3 3 39
- 14Jakub Poczta1 3 0 W4
- 15Sebastian Szostak3 0 3 28+1
- 16Patrick Hansen2 2 2 W6+2
- 1Ernest KozaU0
- 2Artur Mroczka2 1 0 0 14
- 3Rohan Tungate1 0 2 1 04
- 4Oskar Bober2 2 1 2 u7+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 1 1 1 29+1
- 6Przemysław Konieczny2 D W 1 14
- 7Dawid RempałaW0
- 8Piotr Świercz0 2 02
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · OST2*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR2
- Jakub Poczta · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR1*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Jakub Poczta · OST3
- Oskar Bober · TAR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TARD
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Oskar Bober · TAR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · OST1
- Rohan Tungate · TAR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Rohan Tungate · TAR2
- Oskar Bober · TAR1*
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · OST2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Oskar Bober · TAR2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Piotr Świercz · TAR2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR1
- Rohan Tungate · TAR0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 24 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| OST | TAR | OST | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Oskar Bober | 4 | 3.8 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Patrick Hansen | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 3 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 5 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Dawid Rempała | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Ernest Koza | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Jakub Poczta | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.4 | 4 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.