KRO vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 5, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak2 3 3 3 112+1
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 1 1 D6
- 11Patryk Wojdyło1 1 1 25+1
- 12Vaclav Milik3 3 3 2 314+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 3 3 213+1
- 14Bartosz Curzytek3 1 04
- 15Aleks Rydlewski2 0 W2+1
- 1Kevin Fajfer0 1 0 12+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen0 2 2 3 07
- 3Timo Lahti3 2 1 0 28+1
- 4Mirosław Jabłoński2 0 2 D 15
- 5Oskar Fajfer1 2 2 2 310
- 6Marcel Studziński1 0 01
- 7Mikołaj Czapla0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO3
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO2*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1*
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1*
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNID
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KROD
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| KRO | GNI | KRO | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.0 | 14 | +7.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.0 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 4 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 5 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.