GDA vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, May 31, 2021 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Krystian Pieszczek3 2 3 2 111+1
- 10Rasmus Jensen2 3 0 2 18+1
- 11Michał Gruchalski0 0 33
- 12Jakub Jamróg2 2 1 1 06+2
- 13Viktor Kulakov3 3 3 3 012
- 14Piotr Gryszpiński1 1 02+2
- 15Alan Szczotka2 U 13
- 16Lukas Fienhage00
- 1Oliver Berntzon2 2 1 05+1
- 3Grzegorz Walasek1 3 2 1 310+1
- 4Tomasz Gapiński3 1 1 3 210+2
- 5Nicolai Klindt0 D 2 02+1
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 0 3 28+1
- 7Kacper Grzelak0 1 01
- 8Patrick Hansen1 1 2 2 39
Heat by heat
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Alan Szczotka · GDAU
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OSTD
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| GDA | OST | GDA | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 4.0 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Lukas Fienhage | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 7.2 | 2 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.