RYB vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, May 24, 2021 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Kacper Gomolski2 1 1 26
- 10Rune HoltaD 3 3 2 311+1
- 11Sergei Logachev0 2 1 3 39
- 12Viktor Trofymov1 1 3 1 06+3
- 13Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 1 3 110
- 14Mateusz Tudzież3 2 05
- 15Przemysław Giera2 0 13+1
- 1Kevin Fajfer3 1 0 04+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen0 2 2 2 28
- 3Mirosław Jabłoński1 0 2 03+1
- 4Timo Lahti3 3 3 3 1 013+1
- 5Oskar Fajfer3 2 2 1 210
- 6Marcel Studziński0 1 01
- 7Mikołaj Czapla1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Sergei Logachev · RYB0
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB3
- Przemysław Giera · RYB2*
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Rune Holta · RYBD
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1*
- Przemysław Giera · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Przemysław Giera · RYB1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Rune Holta · RYB2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1*
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 15 km/h S
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| RYB | GNI | RYB | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.7 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 4 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Przemysław Giera | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 5 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.