OST vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, May 24, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Grzegorz Walasek1 1 3 2 29+2
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 2 0 05
- 11Oliver Berntzon3 3 3 2 011
- 13Nicolai Klindt2 2 1 1 17
- 14Jakub Poczta3 1 04
- 15Sebastian Szostak2 0 13+2
- 16Patrick Hansen1 1 2 3 310+2
- 1Krystian PieszczekW 3 1 15+1
- 2Rasmus Jensen0 1 2 3 D6
- 3Jakub Jamróg2 2 3 2 2 314+1
- 4Michał Gruchalski2 D2
- 5Viktor Kulakov3 3 2 1 3 113+1
- 6Alan Szczotka1 0 0 01
- 7Amadeusz Szulist0 00
- 8Lukas Fienhage00
Heat by heat
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Jakub Poczta · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Amadeusz Szulist · GDA0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA2
- Jakub Poczta · OST1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Patrick Hansen · OST1
- Michał Gruchalski · GDAD
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Amadeusz Szulist · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Patrick Hansen · OST2*
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Lukas Fienhage · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Patrick Hansen · OST3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDAD
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| OST | GDA | OST | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 4.9 | 10 | +5.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 6 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 6 | 13.4 | 13 | -0.4 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Lukas Fienhage | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Alan Szczotka | 4 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Amadeusz Szulist | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.