KRO vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 23, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 3 213+1
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 3 3 111+1
- 11Patryk Wojdyło0 3 2 3 311+1
- 12Vaclav Milik0 1 3 26+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 3 1 212+1
- 14Jakub Janik3 1 15
- 15Bartosz Curzytek1 1 02
- 1Artur Mroczka1 D 1 13+1
- 2Ernest Koza2 2 1 2 07
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 W 0 04
- 4Oskar Bober2 0 2 04
- 5Rohan Tungate1 2 W D 2 38+1
- 6Dawid Rempała0 00
- 7Przemysław Konieczny2 0 1 14+1
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Jakub Janik · KRO3
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Rohan Tungate · TAR1*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Oskar Bober · TAR2
- Jakub Janik · KRO1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Oskar Bober · TAR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Artur Mroczka · TARD
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Rohan Tungate · TAR2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Oskar Bober · TAR2
- Jakub Janik · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Rohan Tungate · TARD
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1*
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Rohan Tungate · TAR2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Oskar Bober · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 15 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h S
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KRO | TAR | KRO | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 5.3 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Jakub Janik | 3 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 4 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 4 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Oskar Bober | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Dawid Rempała | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 12.4 | 8 | -4.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.1 | 4 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.