GNI vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, May 17, 2021 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Peter Kildemand1 3 1 0 1 28+1
- 10Frederik Jakobsen3 2 0 2 3 212
- 11Timo Lahti2 1 2 3 0 19+1
- 12Mirosław Jabłoński00
- 13Oskar Fajfer3 1 W4
- 14Mikołaj CzaplaW 0 11
- 15Marcel Studziński3 W 14
- 16Kevin Fajfer0 W0
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 2 3 3 314+1
- 2Mateusz Szczepaniak1 3 2 2 08+2
- 3Daniel Jeleniewski0 3 3 06
- 4Patryk Wojdyło2 2 2 1 310+2
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 W 3 2 18
- 6Bartosz CurzytekM 1 12+1
- 7Aleks Rydlewski2 W2
- 8Jakub Janik00
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO0
- Marcel Studziński · GNI3
- Aleks Rydlewski · KRO2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KROM
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1*
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Peter Kildemand · GNI3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Peter Kildemand · GNI0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Jakub Janik · KRO0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · KRO0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | −1 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 10 | −3 | +3 | |
| 8–10 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GNI | KRO | GNI | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +1 | 77 % |
| 3 | +1 | 77 % |
| 4 | +1 | 73 % |
| 5 | -3 | 47 % |
| 6 | -7 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 3.7 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 2 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Jakub Janik | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 11.5 | 9 | -2.5 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 3 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.